TODAY’S ISSUE

⏱️ 4 minute read

Canada’s Energy Future is Projected to be Wet and Windy 🌱 🌐

The Canada Energy Regulator recently released their latest supply and demand projections for 2050, which evaluated four scenarios for Canada’s energy future. All of the evaluated scenarios saw significant increases in electricity demand, ranging from 23% to 85% increases above 2023 levels. Electrification of transportation and new demand from data centres were identified as primary drivers of this trend.

Projected Electricity Generation by Technology

A breakdown of the fuel mix of these hypothetical energy futures show that hydro is expected to continue its dominance, accompanied by significant wind development. Surprisingly, solar is projected to play a relatively limited role, despite the technology’s rapidly declining costs making it one of the lowest sources of energy currently available.

It looks like we’ll need to wait about 24 years to see how accurate any of these scenarios end up being!

US Taxpayers On the Hook for $1B to Not Build Wind Farms 🔋

The US Government has announced that payments of nearly $1B will be made to the French Company TotalEnergies to cancel leases for approximately 4 GW of offshore wind development off the eastern coast of the United States.

TotalEnergies is only one of several developers facing project cancellations as the current US administration makes a push for renewed fossil fuel development. These cancellations are coming as electricity demand is forecasted to rapidly increase and geopolitical events continue to disrupt fuel markets.

Peaks Over Threshold 📈

Is High Snowpack Increasing the Flood Risk for Lake Ontario?

After serious flooding in 2017 and 2019, many Lake Ontario dwellers may be wondering what this year’s snowy spring has in store. Check out the Erode AI Analyst’s assessment of the current situation below!

Where to find us

Upcoming Events 📢

Melting snow and warmer weather bring with them fewer travel cancellations and less time spent de-icing on the runway! Here’s where we’ll be in the upcoming months.

Power of Water Canada Conference
📍Where: Niagara-on-the-Lake, Canada
🗓️When: May 6-8, 2026

If you’re attending this event and are interested in meeting, please reach out!

What’s New at Erode AI

Here’s What We’ve Been Up to! 🙋🏻‍♂️ 🎙️

CEATI- Hydropower Conference 🌊 🌴

Last week out team headed to San Diego for the CEATI 2026 Hydropower Conference! Our presentation on leveraging model context protocol (MCP) for smarter hydropower operations received great feedback from the audience and led to some really great conversations both during the question period and throughout the remainder of the conference.

A key takeaway for our team was that almost everyone is already using AI tools like Claude, Copilot, and ChatGPT in their work, but the integration piece with both internal and external datasets is just getting started.

We showed how tools like the Erode AI Analyst can be used to answer complex questions around topics like snowpack, energy markets, and hydrology that would have previously taken analysts several hours to answer in under 60 seconds!

Our team joined over 700 professionals in sunny San Diego for the 2026 conference!

Ending the day with fog settling over San Diego Bay

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Let us know what you thought of this week’s newsletter!

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That’s All For Now

Thanks for reading. Keep riding the current and stay energized!

If you find yourself paralyzed by uncertainty about what’s to come, remember that it doesn’t have to be that way. Erode AI offers custom forecasting services and insights for water, wind, solar, and many other weather-impacted outcomes!

Want to learn more about how Erode AI can help your team manage uncertainty and improve insights? Book a demo with our team! ⬇️

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